UK economic growth revised down

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5 October 2011 Last updated at 14:44 GMT Industrial output fell less than previously thought The UK economy grew by 0.1% between April and June, less than the 0.2% estimated previously.

Output from the service sector grew by 0.2% in the quarter, compared with the previous estimate of 0.5%, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said.

Separate data suggested activity in the UK service sector grew in September.

The Treasury pointed to these figures as evidence the UK economy was still growing and said it would be sticking with its deficit reduction programme.

'Continued expansion'

The ONS also revised down growth in the first three months of the year, from 0.5% to 0.4%.

It added that household consumption fell by 0.8% in the second quarter.

Separately, a survey from Markit/CIPS found the UK's service sector purchasing managers' index (PMI) recorded a figure of 52.9 for September, up from 51.1 in August. A figure above 50 indicates growth.

Figures from the same company published earlier this week showed surprise growth in the manufacturing sector.

A Treasury spokesperson said: "While the UK cannot insulate itself from what is happening to our major trading partners, with financial turbulence in the eurozone and a weaker outlook for global growth, the economy is still growing and this week's survey data for the manufacturing and service sectors are consistent with continued expansion."

The government has been criticised in some quarters for concentrating too much on cutting the budget deficit at the expense of stimulating growth.

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So if households do what Mr Cameron wants, and continue to pay back their debts, it is very difficult to see how the economy can grow at much more than 1% or so per year for many years to come”

End Quote Robert Peston Business editor, BBC News On Wednesday, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said that Europe's stronger economies should avoid imposing drastic budget cuts at the expense of growth.

If economic conditions deteriorate in the UK, Germany or France, governments should "consider delaying" cuts, particularly as they can borrow at low interest rates, the IMF said.

However, the Treasury reiterated that it did not intend to hold back on its spending cuts.

"The government will stick to the deficit reduction plan which has won the UK credibility and stability, but the most important thing for the economy now is restoring confidence, which will depend on the eurozone decisively dealing with its problems."

Further stimulus

The latest GDP revision is likely to raise further questions about the strength of the UK's fragile economic recovery.

In an interview with the Reuters news agency, the head of the British Retail Consortium, Stephen Robertson, said: "The next six months are going to be characterised by very low levels of growth. I think we've probably got another 18 months of real challenge."

Underlying costs for businesses will continue to rise, with the retail sector finding life "extremely difficult", he added.

On Wednesday, supermarket giant Tesco reported a fall in like-for-like sales excluding petrol and VAT of 0.5% for the first half of the year, while retailer Mothercare said like-for-like sales between July and September fell by almost 10%, triggering a 36% slump in its share price.

Also on Wednesday, airline Flybe saw a similar fall in its share price after reporting a "significant slowdown in sales" across its UK domestic network in September.

There has been speculation that the Bank of England will restart its quantitative easing (QE) programme, whereby it pumps money into the economy to boost demand.

At its meeting last the month, most members of the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) agreed the case for an "immediate" stimulus had strengthened.

Some analysts said the encouraging PMI data could mean a delay in restarting QE, but most agreed further stimulus would be introduced this month or next.

The MPC's next meeting begins on Wednesday, with an announcement on interest rates and QE due at midday on Thursday.

"The bigger picture, including the risks to the economy from the eurozone debt crisis, far outweigh the services PMI survey and our view remains that the MPC will probably sanction further asset purchases tomorrow," said Philip Shaw at Investec.

Brian Hilliard at Societe Generale said the continuing debt crisis "should trigger a move [for QE] this week. I give about a 60% chance to that; if not, it's an absolute racing certainty for November".

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Trend in EU economic bucking of Estonia

October 6, 2011, last updated: 57 GMT by Charlotte Ashton, World Tallin Tallinn, Estonia-Skype, as well as other companies in emerging technologies now has the fastest economic growth in the European Union, so what does Estonia just when other countries are so many economic problems?

Ave Maria Ounapuu enjoys boom of Estonia.

Organic cosmetics company established JOIK four years ago to take its business to making candles.

She has received grants from the European Union for machinery and marketing help, but says the business agenda of the Government of Estonia helped too: "it was pretty easy.

"There was no problem with the regulations, even finding products to sell went smoothly enough.

"You can report your taxes online so you don't need to spend valuable time to forms and things. We don't have our growth to the Government, but they will not put any obstacles in our way. "

Currently, JOIK employs four people, was moved to a larger space. It has an annual turnover of 250,000 euros, on export to countries bordering the Baltic.

Ave Maria Ounapuu says the Government of Estonia has set up an independent business with ease

This is a similar story of Estonia as a whole, as the country has a long way since she joined the EU in 2004.

The initial flow of credit to the construction boom that led to high House, but the bubble burst in 2008, when the country found itself the economic doldrums, it had to smarten up their act.

Labour laws were liberalised, increased retirement age and public spending cut. But the tax remained low to encourage business; Entrepreneurs were fashionable.

Estonia GDP grew at 8.5% in the first quarter of this year, the fastest growth of all the EU economy. One of the biggest growth areas in it technology.

Estonia exports mainly to the EU, but exports of its main markets, Finland, Sweden are distorted

Skype Online software used by people 200 m each month to make free or cheap video phone calls over the Internet, has its development, on the outskirts of Tallinn.

The software was invented in Tallinn of Dane, Swede and Estonians.

Stan Tankivi, head of Skype Estonia, says: "you can show the country of Estonia itself as a witness. It regained independence 20 years ago, the company generally or culture here has very little hierarchy.

"It is very small and nimble, that sort of environment is very positive for entrepreneurship".

In January, Estonia joined the euro. Stability of the currency result, along with those low corporate taxes (zero profits reinvested), this tiny nation of 1.3 m investment very attractive. Exports are soaring, up 53% last year. This summer came the euro 1bn for the first time.

But 70 percent of exports go to EU countries, growth is deteriorating steadily and its two main export markets, Finland and Sweden.

How is the economy of Estonia so fragile?

It is still a net recipient of EU money but its contribution to financial stability facility means that European companies is decreasingly profitable. Contribution of Euro 2bn represents one third of the annual budget.

"We were invited to a wedding but turned out to be a funeral," says Anders Arrak, Estonian who has entrepreneurial University apply.

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of course we understand what the meaning of the credit crisis, but in Estonia is not a hot topic for us "

end quote Andrus Ansip Estonian Prime ??????"??? us a lot of money from the EU.

"We have already renovated churches and roads. But now we are being asked to pay money to improve the errors made in the past, Greece and the countries of the eurozone.

"It makes sense. We have to invest in the future of Estonia. "

But the Prime Minister of Estonia Andrus Ansip stay safer will continue its growth: "of course we all need to be concerned but our banking sector is doing well, our commercial banks are well capitalised and correspond to the reserves.

"The State the money are the best of all the European Union because we have still 12% GDP reserves.

"Yes, of course, we understand what the meaning of the credit crisis, but in Estonia is not a hot topic for us."

Mr Ansip thank him an erection activities explaining why Estonia, a poor cousin Mizrahi, fresh out of troubled times himself, bail out its richer southern cousins.

Drinkers in the lounge of their obligation to contribute to the Museum say bailouts EU

But support for the European Union young Estonians soothes the unwavering with a glass of wine in one of the new trendy bars, lounge Tallinn Museum.

Memories of Soviet occupation, which ended just 20 years ago, are still fresh among the younger generation.

Ali is a teacher at the school who says it fully supports Estonia's contribution to the bailout.

"I don't even understand what the discussion. We already received money from the EU now is a good thing because ultimately we are in a position to help someone else. I think it's only fair. "

The Museum lounge Manager, ARGO, agrees. "An overview of Estonia in the West now, only the West," he says.

And Estonia are ready to pay the price.

The world tonight is broadcast weekdays on BBC Radio 4: 00 p.m. BST.

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US economic growth rate at 1.3%

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29 September 2011 Last updated at 13:09 GMT Continue reading the main story The US economy grew at an annualised rate of 1.3% between April and June, the Commerce Department has said in its third estimate for the quarter.

This is higher than the 1% growth it reported in its second estimate, but the same as its first calculation for the three month period.

Consumer spending and exports were both stronger than previously estimated.

Last week, the Federal Reserve unveiled a new plan to try to help the economy.

Under a scheme dubbed Operation Twist, the US central bank is selling about $400bn (￡260bn) worth of bonds maturing within three years and buying longer-term debt.

The sluggish growth in the US economy has not been sufficient to reduce high levels of unemployment, with the jobless rate in August at 9.1%.

For the first six months of 2011 the US economy expanded by 0.9%, the lowest rate of growth in more than two years.

Joe Manimbo, analyst at Travelex Global Payments in Washington, welcomed the latest economic growth figures.

"The final print of second-quarter GDP came out a little bit faster than expected and that suggests the US economy entered the third quarter on a slightly better footing," he said.

Most economists expect the economy to improve in the third quarter, with predictions that it will grow at an annualised pace of about 2%.

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