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2011年10月29日星期六

King fears crisis is 'worst ever'

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7 October 2011 Last updated at 04:13 GMT Mervyn King: 'Quantitative easing will work'

Bank of England governor Mervyn King has said this financial crisis could be the worst the UK has ever seen.

His comments came after the Bank authorised the injection of a further £75bn into the economy through quantitative easing (QE).

Explaining the move Sir Mervyn told Sky News: "This is the most serious financial crisis we've seen at least since the 1930s, if not ever."

The Bank has already pumped £200bn into the economy.

It has done this by buying assets such as government bonds, in an attempt to boost lending by commercial banks.

Sir Mervyn said: "We're having to deal with very unusual circumstances and to act calmly and do the right thing. The right thing at present is to create some more money to inject into the economy."

The Bank's Monetary Policy Committee has been split for months over whether the UK needs a boost to the economy through QE, an increase in interest rates to stave off inflation - which at 4.5% is well over double its target - or to leave things as they are.

Only one member, Adam Posen, has consistently pushed for more QE.

Slow money

Sir Mervyn said the economic landscape was unfamiliar and the world had changed in the past three months and so had the policy response necessary.

He said the amount of money in the economy was not growing quickly enough.

Sir Mervyn also said he could not rule out a further bout of QE.

On Wednesday, data showed the UK economy grew by 0.1% between April and June, which was less than previously thought.

"The deterioration in the outlook has made it more likely that inflation will undershoot the 2% target in the medium term.

Continue reading the main story Use the dropdown for easy-to-understand explanations of key financial terms:AAA-rating GO The best credit rating that can be given to a borrower's debts, indicating that the risk of borrowing defaulting is miniscule.The CBI and the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) business groups welcomed the Bank's move to expand the QE programme to £275bn, but said that on its own, its impact would be limited.

"This measure will help support confidence, but we need to recognise that its impact on near term growth prospects is likely to be relatively modest," said Ian McCafferty, the CBI's chief economic adviser.

"Only once the turmoil in the eurozone is resolved will confidence be fully restored."

'Radical'

David Kern, chief economist at the BCC, said: "Higher QE on its own is not enough and we urge the MPC [Monetary Policy Committee] to look at other radical methods.

"There is a strong case for the MPC to help boost bank lending to businesses by immediately raising its purchases of private sector assets."

However, the National Association of Pension Funds (NAPF) is calling for an urgent meeting with the pensions regulator to discuss ways of protecting UK pension funds from the negative effects of QE.

QE tends to push down long-term bond yields, therefore reducing the return on the investments made by pension schemes.

"Quantitative easing makes it more expensive for employers to provide pensions and will weaken the funding of schemes as their deficits increase," said Joanne Segars, chief executive of the NAPF.

Complementary actions Continue reading the main story
If you're not sure of the quality of your ammunition, it's best to fire first. Some will see that as the explanation for the slightly early launch of QE2 from the Bank of England”

End Quote image of Stephanie Flanders Stephanie Flanders Economics editor, BBC News Mervyn King wrote to the chancellor earlier on Thursday, setting out the MPC's case for expanding the asset purchasing programme.

In his letter of response, in which he authorised the move, Chancellor George Osborne said: "I agree that an increase in the ceiling would provide the MPC with scope to vary the stance of monetary policy to meet the inflation target."

In his speech to the Conservative Party conference earlier in the week, Mr Osborne said that the Treasury would look into "credit easing" - a way to underwrite loans to small businesses who are struggling to get credit now.

He confirmed this in his letter to Mr King: "Given evidence of continued impairment in the flow of credit to some parts of the real economy, notably small and medium-sized businesses, the Treasury is exploring further policy actions. Such interventions should complement the MPC's asset purchases."


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2011年10月27日星期四

VIDEO: Human cost of Greek crisis

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The people of Greece are now having to pay the price of past official financial mismanagement, as the government takes drastic steps to try to avert a euro debt default. Paul Mason went to Athens to report on the human cost of political hubris.

Broadcast on Wednesday 28 September 2011.


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2011年10月23日星期日

2011年10月22日星期六

How the crisis is affecting you

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29 September 2011 Last updated at 23:00 GMT Debt in the eurozone, concerns over growth in Europe and the US, and turmoil on the financial markets have led to fears of a renewed financial crisis and recession.

The BBC has been asking how the crisis has been affecting you personally.

Here are some of your stories.

Cedric Angel

It sucks. I am 20 years old. I graduated from high school in 2009 and just wanted to start working.

Two years later I still don't have a job. I've mostly been looking for simple retail work. The number of jobs I've applied for must be in the hundreds, and I have had only one interview.

I haven't applied for any benefits because I've been told I'm not eligible as I haven't had a job before.

I live with my parents and my brother. I have taken a couple of college classes but I find it rather soul-crushing, and there doesn't seem to be any light, or indeed, an end, to the tunnel.

Philip Petersen, chief executive of AdInfa, says "The situation is tough but it presents opportunities"

I run a small software company. Our software helps people who run computer data centres save money by monitoring and managing their data usage.

I see the current economic situation as an opportunity. I believe the market demand for our kind of product is growing because organisations are much concerned about their operating costs, and energy is a growing item of expenditure.

The current economic situation, or that which has prevailed for the last couple of years, has definitely increased awareness of this issue.

However, one difficulty we are contending with is investment. Raising money for an early stage technology business, particularly if you are not in consumer, e-commerce, mobile or social networking, is plain hard and that is something we are contending with.

I run a home-made ice cream business on the seafront in Paros, but business has been horrible lately and I am closing my shop.

We rely on tourism - Greek tourists in particular - and there just aren't any.

I will close my books at the end of October. I've got about 90,000 euros' (£78,000) worth of equipment but I probably won't be able to sell everything as everyone here is trying to sell.

When I told the local children that I was closing, they were so upset and burst into tears as they love the shop.

I am now going to do an online master's [degree]. I've made my budget for the next eight to 10 months, and will have to survive on 600-700 euros a month.

Varun Sahani

We are an Indian-based international distributor of books, DVDs, software and electronics.

Before the downturn, we were able to secure credit from our suppliers, but now we have to meet the condition of advance payment to fulfil our orders.

We are a registered company in India and the US. But Indian banks will not lend to us because of the uncertainty in US markets, and currently US banks are not lending at all.

To compound it all, even other lending companies and bill-discounting companies will not lend to us due to uncertainty in the mail order retail industry.

This has not only impacted on our performance - some of our orders are pending due to lack of funds and sometimes they are cancelled because of late delivery - but we have also had to put our expansion plans on hold.

Dilux

I work as a hotel receptionist. I'm still being affected by the economy right now.

If you look at the cost of sugar now in Kenya and compare it with [what the] common mwananchi [man] earns, it is not fair at all.

Also house rents are very high, especially for people like me with no parents and no wife.

I lost my wife in July 2011. I have three children and I'm facing big problems. My wish is for the government to take action.


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